Bitcoin news today is reporting that the price of Bitcoin has continued to fluctuate around $4000 in the past week cancelling any hopes that the coin will show marked upward movement before the end of 2018.
Analysts have wondered the reason for the poor performance of the coin in this year despite an impressive run in 2017 that spawned predictions that the coin will be valued in the range of tens of thousands of dollars before the end of the year.
So why has Bitcoin underperformed that many investors are now skeptical whether it is a good idea to keep their funds in Bitcoin?
History of Adoption
The interest most investors have in Bitcoin was the result of the massive price spike in the fall of 2017. The fear of missing out stemmed from the fact that stories made rounds on how Bitcoin made people rich.
The result is that many investors bought the coin not because they needed it as a means of transfer of value but as an asset they hoped would make them rich.
The result of this approach is disenchantment when the price of Bitcoin started to fall in January this year. Since the cryptocurrency ordinarily required sustained inflow of investment to maintain stability in price, it is not surprising that the value has struggled for stability.
Bitcoin volume has been dipping lower for the past six months. This is not unconnected with the culture of hodling. This is the act by which many enthusiast hold the cryptourrency hoping that the price appreciates.
The trading of Bitcoin in exchanges reduces drastically whenever there are uncertainties about the coin market. These uncertainties generally lead to low trading volume as inflow of funds in the market slows considerably.
This year, the total trade volume of Bitcoin exceeded $2 trillion which is 61 percent more than that of last year in which the total trade volume was $870 billion. Nevertheless, the volume has not translated to comparable growth as seen in 2017 due to the bear market.
Nevertheless, the 2018 volume is interesting because it is a reflection of growing awareness and use of Bitcoin not just as a speculative instruments but a means of transfer of value.
Ease of Use May Hinder Adoption
We all have seen how difficult it is for senior citizens to use new technologies and innovation. Most adopters of Bitcoin are those that do not find it difficult to use because they are tech savvy to some extent.
There are millions of older people that cannot be persuaded to adopt Bitcoin because they do not understand the technology or the reason they should replace the fiat they have used all their lives.
There also is the impact of negative news and misinformation about Bitcoin, especially when people hear of hacks and seeming market ‘crashes’ which is really temporary downturns.
Get Rich Quick Group
There is a consensus among most crypto analysts that what Bitcoin needs to become a widely acceptable means of exchange or currency is widespread adoption. However, this may not happen quickly as long as most adopters consider the cryptocurrency as a speculative instrument instead of a currency.
It is instructive to note that this group of adopters are among the earliest to sell off their coins when there is a market downturn since their primary interest is to make profit.
Absence of Regulation
To some extent, the reason why institutional investors are cautious in entering the market is that they are yet uncertain about the potential of the market for stability.
The principal reason for this is that the coin market is still unregulated and there are few investment firms that would willingly put investors’ funds in a market that regulators may move against in the near future.
This is why it is expected that institutional funds will bring needed liquidity to the coin market if the SEC approves some bitcoin ETFs in the Q1 or Q2 of 2019. The absence of this legitimacy at this level may not augur well for the growth of the market.
Hacks and Theft
Series of hacks, thefts and other criminal activities by cybercriminals have contributed in bad publicity for the crypto ecosystem. The effect of these on the coin market is well known.
For instance, when the Tokyo-based Coincheck was hacked in January, it adversely affected the price of Bitcoin for several hours even though the coins stolen were NEM (XEM).
These have raised more issues on security which has been addresses by the Japanese financial regulator. The prominence of custodial services in the cryptosphere in 2018 is not unconnected with this situation.
In fact, the increased interest in institutional investors in the coin market is a direct consequence of the involvement of custodial services by crypto giants such as BitGo and Coinbase.
Bitcoin News Today reported in the past that there has been suspicion that the Bitcoin market is manipulated. Whales who own enormous amount of the cryptocurrency are known to impact the price of the coin whenever they move their hoard.
Although this is not common, these massive coin movements sometimes seem calculative raising suspicion that there may be a network of whales that know and communicate with one another.
Other forms of manipulative tools such as trading bots have been developed and can even become instruments of pump and dump schemes in the market.
The poor performance of ICOs has impacted negatively on the coin market. For instance, there have been reports that up to 10 percent of ICO funds were lost to scams while 80 percent of ICOs failed.
Series of warnings from regulators all over the world made more investors skeptical about the coin market. With many investors discouraged from putting money in the market, the bearish 2018 trend was the result.
What else were responsible for the low adoption of Bitcoin in 2018? Send in your comments in the comment box below.